Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #40
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #10
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Gavit Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 483 600 584 590 472 452 444 468 487 499
Team Adjusted Rating 473 491 590 472 452 444 460 487 499
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
80  Billy Duszynski 12 16:28 16:36 16:11 16:18 17:13 16:38 16:16 16:27 16:32 16:26 16:17 16:37
111  Joey Copeland 12 16:37 16:48 16:46 16:38 16:44 16:33 16:27 16:43 16:30 16:26 16:44
314  Isaac Beatty 11 17:11 17:36 17:03 17:02 16:58 17:04 17:19 17:42
502  Logan Russell 9 17:33 17:30 17:32 17:42 17:44 17:26 17:38 17:29 17:17 17:43 17:45
808  Guirvir Gill 11 18:02 19:23 19:05 18:30 18:07 17:49
873  Luke Persun 10 18:06 18:27 18:12 18:11 17:59 17:57 18:06 18:09 18:00
886  Jordan Duggan 9 18:07 18:54 18:15 18:17 18:18 18:15 18:04 18:29 17:55 17:54
1,028  Carter Goldman 11 18:18 18:16 18:24 18:16 18:00 18:21 18:31
1,213  Ben Watta 11 18:30 18:30 18:22 18:19 18:17 18:44 18:37 18:38
1,356  Jack Tinsley 11 18:41 18:23 19:10 18:12 18:36 18:57 18:51 18:42
1,415  Cayden Cooper 10 18:46 18:33 18:42 19:04 19:13 18:29
Braden Johnson 9 19:19 20:19 19:16 19:21 18:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.3 253 0.4 1.5 3.9 7.6 15.9 25.6 23.0 13.2 6.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.2 88 2.6 72.3 23.2 2.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 33 71.3 28.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Billy Duszynski 72.0% 67.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 72.0% 72.0%
Joey Copeland 36.0% 81.1 0.1 36.0% 36.0%
Isaac Beatty 0.0% 138.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Billy Duszynski 100% 17.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 4.3 3.2 4.5 5.4 5.5 6.0 4.9 5.6 6.0 4.8 4.9 4.1 5.0 4.2 3.3 100.0%
Joey Copeland 100% 24.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.9 4.8 4.4 4.0 4.5 5.1 6.0 5.2 100.0%
Isaac Beatty 100% 61.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Logan Russell 100% 88.6 99.7%
Guirvir Gill 100% 120.7 78.4%
Luke Persun 100% 127.2 66.5%
Jordan Duggan 100% 128.3 64.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Billy Duszynski 100% 6.3 0.3 5.0 6.2 8.8 11.1 13.2 16.6 15.4 11.4 7.2 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joey Copeland 100% 8.7 0.6 1.7 2.5 3.9 6.3 8.7 12.3 18.9 19.6 12.2 7.3 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Isaac Beatty 100% 17.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.2 7.0 6.9 7.9 9.4 8.7 8.7 7.7 7.9 5.5 5.7 6.1 4.1 3.4 100.0%
Logan Russell 100% 25.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.1 2.4 3.7 4.6 5.1 7.9 11.2 100.0%
Guirvir Gill 100% 35.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Luke Persun 100% 37.3 0.1 100.0%
Jordan Duggan 100% 37.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Billy Duszynski 1.0 52.3 37.8 9.8 0.2 0.1
Joey Copeland 2.1 8.6 35.2 54.1 1.9 0.3
Isaac Beatty 4.5 0.5 39.9 19.8 20.5 11.5 5.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.1
Logan Russell 8.5 0.3 3.2 5.2 9.9 18.2 26.1 17.9 10.3 4.7 2.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Guirvir Gill 14.7 0.2 0.5 3.0 6.4 10.1 11.8 11.4 9.8 11.3 9.3 9.2 6.4 4.6 3.9 2.5 0.1
Luke Persun 16.4 0.1 1.3 3.0 4.8 7.5 8.0 10.9 10.1 11.0 9.8 11.2 10.0 7.8 4.6 0.2
Jordan Duggan 16.9 0.1 0.9 2.0 3.8 7.4 8.0 9.1 10.4 9.8 11.4 10.9 9.9 8.9 7.1 0.5 0.1